Categories

Projection Data

Disclaimer: This information is strictly math data, it is not a prediction and is not based on any other criteria beyond mathematics. This information should not be used to make decisions. No warranty expressed or implied is made regarding accuracy, adequacy, completeness, legality, reliability or usefulness of the information presented below.

The graph below depicts the total amount of deaths (in red) and the total amount of people projected to be die (in grey).

The table (below the graph) projects the possible course of Covid-19 infections, new infections, and deaths in the United States on a day-to-day basis.

This chart and table are based upon historical data, up to yesterday’s date, listed as “Historical.” After that, we’ve used various characteristics (see list below) to calculate a simulation of what the infection and the consequences could potentially be.

This data below is mathematically based on the following projection characteristics:

  • Historical data to date (as of 24 hours ago)
  • US Population (currently fixed at 325,145,963 people)
  • Infection Rate (RO) = 1 to 1.7 (1 infected person can infect 1.7 people)
  • Excluding immune and isolated people = up to 10,000 individuals
  • Mortality Rate = 5.8% (set to current national average)
  • Untreated Cases = 2% (this is the number of people who were not treated, presented with symptoms too late to be helped, or will die without benefit of healthcare at all)
  • Burnout Rate = 3.5% (This represents a reduction of the ‘Infection Rate’ over time – it represents the increased quarantine measures, progress with discovering a cure or vaccine and fewer healthy hosts to infect)

Common FluSARSMERSSpanish FluCovid-19 (SARS-CoV-2)
Infection Rate (R0)1.282.600.701.40-2.801.50-4.00?
Mortality Rate0.10%11%35%10-20%>10%?
Mortality Complicator<1%~15%~15%~20%>20%?
Incubation Period1-2 days4-6 days1-21 days2-7 days2-24 days?
Vaccination And Curability10%-48% effectiveNo cureNo cure No cureNo cure

Total Infected Historical and Projected

Total Dead Historical and Projected

Historical and Projected Totals, deaths, new infections, and total infections

DateDayNew InfectedTotal InfectedNew DeathsTotal DeathsPopulation AliveData Source
01-22-202010000325,145,963Historical
01-23-202021100325,145,963Historical
01-24-202031200325,145,963Historical
01-25-202040200325,145,963Historical
01-26-202053500325,145,963Historical
01-27-202060500325,145,963Historical
01-28-202070500325,145,963Historical
01-29-202080500325,145,963Historical
01-30-202090500325,145,963Historical
01-31-2020102700325,145,963Historical
02-01-2020111800325,145,963Historical
02-02-2020120800325,145,963Historical
02-03-20201331100325,145,963Historical
02-04-20201401100325,145,963Historical
02-05-20201501100325,145,963Historical
02-06-20201601100325,145,963Historical
02-07-20201701100325,145,963Historical
02-08-20201801100325,145,963Historical
02-09-20201901100325,145,963Historical
02-10-20202001100325,145,963Historical
02-11-20202111200325,145,963Historical
02-12-20202201200325,145,963Historical
02-13-20202311300325,145,963Historical
02-14-20202401300325,145,963Historical
02-15-20202501300325,145,963Historical
02-16-20202601300325,145,963Historical
02-17-20202701300325,145,963Historical
02-18-20202801300325,145,963Historical
02-19-20202901300325,145,963Historical
02-20-20203001300325,145,963Historical
02-21-20203121500325,145,963Historical
02-22-20203201500325,145,963Historical
02-23-20203301500325,145,963Historical
02-24-20203401500325,145,963Historical
02-25-20203501500325,145,963Historical
02-26-20203601522325,145,961Historical
02-27-20203711602325,145,961Historical
02-28-20203801624325,145,959Historical
02-29-20203921815325,145,958Historical
03-01-202040274538325,145,955Historical
03-02-2020414085311325,145,952Historical
03-03-20204241126314325,145,949Historical
03-04-202043133259216325,145,947Historical
03-05-20204499358420325,145,943Historical
03-06-20204598456626325,145,937Historical
03-07-202046159615127325,145,936Historical
03-08-202047175790431325,145,932Historical
03-09-2020482561,046435325,145,928Historical
03-10-2020493351,381237325,145,926Historical
03-11-2020504491,830643325,145,920Historical
03-12-2020516052,435851325,145,912Historical
03-13-2020529453,380455325,145,908Historical
03-14-2020538054,185964325,145,899Historical
03-15-2020541,1055,2901579325,145,884Historical
03-16-2020551,5006,79021100325,145,863Historical
03-17-2020563,55210,34223123325,145,840Historical
03-18-2020573,08213,42432155325,145,808Historical
03-19-2020584,66818,09248203325,145,760Historical
03-20-2020596,15324,24569272325,145,691Historical
03-21-2020606,79331,03862334325,145,629Historical
03-22-2020619,16140,199146480325,145,483Historical
03-23-20206211,45851,657101581325,145,382Historical
03-24-20206310,71562,372234815325,145,148Historical
03-25-20206412,90775,2792351,050325,144,913Historical
03-26-20206517,72092,9993201,370325,144,593Historical
03-27-20206619,132112,1314061,776325,144,187Historical
03-28-20206719,691131,8225382,314325,143,649Historical
03-29-20206819,579151,4015212,835325,143,128Historical
03-30-20206922,055173,4565893,424325,142,539Historical
03-31-20207024,848198,3048904,314325,141,649Historical
04-01-20207125,785224,0891,0105,324325,140,639Historical
04-02-20207228,057252,1461,1726,496325,139,467Historical
04-03-20207332,076284,2221,2867,782325,138,181Historical
04-04-20207433,212317,4341,4829,264325,136,699Historical
04-05-20207525,500342,9341,34010,604325,135,359Historical
04-06-20207629,002371,9361,31811,922325,134,041Historical
04-07-20207730,885402,8212,02413,946325,132,017Historical
04-08-20207830,595433,4162,01015,956325,130,007Historical
04-09-20207934,495467,9112,04317,999325,127,964Historical
04-10-20208034,383502,2942,10820,107325,125,856Historical
04-11-20208130,506532,8002,05522,162325,123,801Historical
04-12-20208227,763560,5631,70323,865325,122,098Historical
04-13-20208325,200585,7631,64425,509325,120,454Historical
04-14-20208425,709611,4722,33627,845325,118,118Historical
04-15-20208530,310641,7822,54430,389325,115,574Historical
04-16-20208630,979672,7612,20032,589325,113,374Historical
04-17-20208732,013704,7742,12034,709325,111,254Historical
04-18-20208827,905732,6791,89336,602325,109,361Historical
04-19-20208927,388760,0671,77238,374325,107,589Historical
04-20-20209025,899785,9661,79840,172325,105,791Historical
04-21-20209126,360812,3262,46742,639325,103,324Historical
04-22-20209228,957841,2832,09844,737325,101,226Historical
04-23-20209331,805873,0881,79146,528325,099,435Historical
04-24-20209434,239907,3271,89548,423325,097,540Historical
04-25-20209535,870943,1971,74850,171325,095,792Historical
04-26-20209627,311970,5081,21451,385325,094,578Historical
04-27-20209722,700993,2081,27052,655325,093,308Historical
04-28-20209825,2821,018,4902,07254,727325,091,236Historical
04-29-20209926,7251,045,2152,71357,440325,088,523Historical
04-30-202010029,5491,074,7642,14059,580325,086,383Historical
05-01-202010133,0291,107,7931,77761,357325,084,606Historical
05-02-202010229,1481,136,9411,56462,921325,083,042Historical
05-03-202010325,7101,162,6511,23164,152325,081,811Historical
05-04-202010422,6431,185,2941,03565,187325,080,776Historical
05-05-202010522,4461,207,7402,45267,639325,078,324Historical
05-06-202010625,0971,232,8371,95069,589325,076,374Historical
05-07-202010727,5591,260,3962,75272,341325,073,622Historical
05-08-202010827,6481,288,0441,79874,139325,071,824Historical
05-09-202010924,7871,312,8311,44575,584325,070,379Historical
05-10-202011021,3921,334,2231,03676,620325,069,343Historical
05-11-202011118,2401,352,46389277,512325,068,451Historical
05-12-202011222,7021,375,1651,48678,998325,066,965Historical
05-13-202011321,2741,396,4391,70480,702325,065,261Historical
05-14-202011426,7311,423,1701,88082,582325,063,381Historical
05-15-202011524,7471,447,9171,50784,089325,061,874Historical
05-16-202011624,6311,472,54898885,077325,060,886Historical
05-17-202011720,0821,492,63084985,926325,060,037Historical
05-18-202011821,0161,513,64684886,774325,059,189Historical
05-19-202011920,9021,534,5481,32688,100325,057,863Historical
05-20-202012021,3381,555,8861,39989,499325,056,464Historical
05-21-202012126,6051,582,4911,39490,893325,055,070Historical
05-22-202012224,5731,607,0641,34192,234325,053,729Historical
05-23-202012321,5301,628,5941,06393,297325,052,666Historical
05-24-202012420,0461,648,64068093,977325,051,986Historical
05-25-202012518,6901,667,33055994,536325,051,427Historical
05-26-202012616,7521,684,08264595,181325,050,782Historical
05-27-202012719,4371,703,5191,32196,502325,049,461Historical
05-28-202012822,6311,726,1501,23197,733325,048,230Historical
05-29-202012923,5731,749,7231,18498,917325,047,046Historical
05-30-202013023,6821,773,40593299,849325,046,114Historical
05-31-202013121,5581,794,963652100,501325,045,462Historical
06-01-202013220,4831,815,446668101,169325,044,794Historical
06-02-202013320,1091,835,555962102,131325,043,832Historical
06-03-202013420,3961,855,951993103,124325,042,839Historical
06-04-202013520,8771,876,828893104,017325,041,946Historical
06-05-202013623,3991,900,227826104,843325,041,120Historical
06-06-202013723,0641,923,291728105,571325,040,392Historical
06-07-202013818,7411,942,032447106,018325,039,945Historical
06-08-202013917,2091,959,241661106,679325,039,284Historical
06-09-202014017,3111,976,552902107,581325,038,382Historical
06-10-202014120,8941,997,446887108,468325,037,495Historical
06-11-202014222,1542,019,600899109,367325,036,596Historical
06-12-202014323,5992,043,199775110,142325,035,821Historical
06-13-202014425,3742,068,573694110,836325,035,127Historical
06-14-202014521,3992,089,972356111,192325,034,771Historical
06-15-202014618,6292,108,601381111,573325,034,390Historical
06-16-202014723,4972,132,098730112,303325,033,660Historical
06-17-202014824,0042,156,102767113,070325,032,893Historical
06-18-202014927,7442,183,846705113,775325,032,188Historical
06-19-202015031,4722,215,318655114,430325,031,533Historical
06-20-202015132,2942,247,612629115,059325,030,904Historical
06-21-202015227,9282,275,540294115,353325,030,610Historical
06-22-202015327,2812,302,821286115,639325,030,324Historical
06-23-202015433,4472,336,268710116,349325,029,614Historical
06-24-202015538,8432,375,111724117,073325,028,890Historical
06-25-202015639,2492,414,360647117,720325,028,243Historical
06-26-202015744,5432,458,903637118,357325,027,606Historical
06-27-202015843,7842,502,687511118,868325,027,095Historical
06-28-202015941,5722,544,259271119,139325,026,824Historical
06-29-202016039,8112,584,070332119,471325,026,492Historical
06-30-202016147,8632,631,933596120,067325,025,896Historical
07-01-202016250,9812,682,914701120,768325,025,195Historical
07-02-202016354,0842,736,998695121,463325,024,500Historical
07-03-202016453,9502,790,948598122,061325,023,902Historical
07-04-202016554,3382,845,286306122,367325,023,596Historical
07-05-202016645,6132,890,899209122,576325,023,387Historical
07-06-202016741,9182,932,817243122,819325,023,144Historical
07-07-202016851,7262,984,543923123,742325,022,221Historical
07-08-202016962,6723,047,215807124,549325,021,414Historical
07-09-202017059,1573,106,372867125,416325,020,547Historical
07-10-202017166,8463,173,218854126,270325,019,693Historical
07-11-202017262,8963,236,114757127,027325,018,936Historical
07-12-202017361,3123,297,426476127,503325,018,460Historical
07-13-202017458,0973,355,523327127,830325,018,133Historical
07-14-202017562,7263,418,249736128,566325,017,397Historical
07-15-202017665,7973,484,046858129,424325,016,539Historical
07-16-202017771,0363,555,082947130,371325,015,592Historical
07-17-202017876,8443,631,926951131,322325,014,641Historical
07-18-202017964,9503,696,876872132,194325,013,769Historical
07-19-202018064,2593,761,135527132,721325,013,242Historical
07-20-202018157,0413,818,176363133,084325,012,879Historical
07-21-202018263,9293,882,1051,038134,122325,011,841Historical
07-22-202018369,3343,951,4391,171135,293325,010,670Historical
07-23-202018471,5534,022,9921,055136,348325,009,615Historical
07-24-202018575,2354,098,2271,176137,524325,008,439Historical
07-25-202018664,7424,162,9691,023138,547325,007,416Historical
07-26-202018761,0094,223,978559139,106325,006,857Historical
07-27-202018855,3214,279,2991,059140,165325,005,798Historical
07-28-202018956,4524,335,7511,122141,287325,004,676Historical
07-29-202019066,9604,402,7111,492142,779325,003,184Historical
07-30-202019169,4194,472,1301,259144,038325,001,925Historical
07-31-202019267,6244,539,7541,312145,350325,000,613Historical
08-01-202019361,1024,600,8561,190146,540324,999,423Historical
08-02-202019446,7564,647,612498147,038324,998,925Historical
08-03-202019549,7694,697,381519147,557324,998,406Historical
08-04-202019651,8654,749,2461,255148,812324,997,151Historical
08-05-202019752,3264,801,5721,346150,158324,995,805Historical
08-06-202019854,1854,855,7571,251151,409324,994,554Historical
08-07-202019961,3464,917,1031,333152,742324,993,221Historical
08-08-202020053,7134,970,8161,089153,831324,992,132Historical
08-09-202020150,6245,021,440616154,447324,991,516Historical
08-10-202020242,0895,063,529426154,873324,991,090Historical
08-11-202020355,7025,119,2311,326156,199324,989,764Historical
08-12-202020456,1325,175,3631,517157,716324,988,247Historical
08-13-202020551,7605,227,1231,163158,879324,987,084Historical
08-14-202020655,6355,282,7581,216160,095324,985,868Historical
08-15-202020756,1485,338,9061,219161,314324,984,649Historical
08-16-202020842,4875,381,393619161,933324,984,030Historical
08-17-202020937,8815,419,274407162,340324,983,623Historical
08-18-202021040,7965,460,0701,196163,536324,982,427Historical
08-19-202021144,9535,505,0231,420164,956324,981,007Historical
08-20-202021243,7585,548,7811,134166,090324,979,873Historical
08-21-202021346,5625,595,3431,123167,213324,978,750Historical
08-22-202021446,2425,641,5851,029168,242324,977,721Historical
08-23-202021537,5675,679,152572168,814324,977,149Historical
08-24-202021634,6415,713,793343169,157324,976,806Historical
08-25-202021736,3745,750,1671,147170,304324,975,659Historical
08-26-202021843,3565,793,5231,298171,602324,974,361Historical
08-27-202021943,9845,837,5071,129172,731324,973,232Historical
08-28-202022046,5465,884,0531,023173,754324,972,209Historical
08-29-202022144,3285,928,3811,014174,768324,971,195Historical
08-30-202022239,4525,967,833475175,243324,970,720Historical
08-31-202022367,0686,031,7843,117178,360324,967,603Simulated
09-01-2020224111,6686,138,2245,228183,588324,962,375Simulated
09-02-2020225182,0196,311,6568,587192,175324,953,788Simulated
09-03-2020226290,3206,588,17013,806205,981324,939,982Simulated
09-04-2020227452,8997,019,35321,716227,697324,918,266Simulated
09-05-2020228690,6717,676,62333,401261,098324,884,865Simulated
09-06-20202291,029,1008,655,51150,212311,310324,834,653Simulated
09-07-20202301,497,34110,079,11773,735385,045324,760,918Simulated
09-08-20202312,126,22412,099,629105,712490,757324,655,206Simulated
09-09-20202322,944,82014,896,570147,879638,636324,507,327Simulated
09-10-20202333,975,50718,670,357201,720840,356324,305,607Simulated
09-11-20202345,227,79223,630,001268,1481,108,504324,037,459Simulated
09-12-20202356,691,57429,974,450347,1251,455,629323,690,334Simulated
09-13-20202368,331,01037,868,166437,2941,892,923323,253,040Simulated
09-14-202023710,080,52247,413,004535,6842,428,607322,717,356Simulated
09-15-202023811,844,61358,620,024637,5933,066,200322,079,763Simulated
09-16-202023913,502,85971,386,148736,7353,802,935321,343,028Simulated
09-17-202024014,920,65985,481,107825,7004,628,635320,517,328Simulated
09-18-202024115,965,105100,549,480896,7325,525,367319,620,596Simulated
09-19-202024216,523,884116,130,625942,7396,468,106318,677,857Simulated
09-20-202024316,523,884131,696,124958,3857,426,491317,719,472Simulated
09-21-202024415,945,548146,700,637941,0358,367,526316,778,437Simulated
09-22-202024514,829,360160,638,641891,3569,258,882315,887,081Simulated
09-23-202024613,272,277173,097,528813,39010,072,272315,073,691Simulated
09-24-202024711,414,158183,797,638714,04810,786,320314,359,643Simulated
09-25-20202489,416,680192,612,221602,09711,388,417313,757,546Simulated
09-26-20202497,439,177199,564,556486,84211,875,259313,270,704Simulated
09-27-20202505,616,579204,804,341376,79412,252,053312,893,910Simulated
09-28-20202514,043,937208,569,696278,58212,530,635312,615,328Simulated
09-29-20202522,770,097211,143,460196,33312,726,968312,418,995Simulated
09-30-20202531,800,563212,812,443131,58012,858,548312,287,415Simulated
10-01-20202541,107,346213,836,15383,63612,942,184312,203,779Simulated
10-02-2020255642,261214,428,14050,27412,992,458312,153,505Simulated
10-03-2020256350,032214,749,68828,48413,020,942312,125,021Simulated
10-04-2020257178,516214,913,04815,15613,036,098312,109,865Simulated
10-05-202025884,795214,990,3017,54213,043,640312,102,323Simulated
10-06-202025937,310215,024,1173,49413,047,134312,098,829Simulated
10-07-202026015,111215,037,7301,49813,048,632312,097,331Simulated
10-08-20202615,591215,042,73059113,049,223312,096,740Simulated
10-09-20202621,873215,044,39021313,049,436312,096,527Simulated
10-10-2020263562215,044,8836913,049,505312,096,458Simulated
10-11-2020264149215,045,0122013,049,525312,096,438Simulated
10-12-202026534215,045,041513,049,530312,096,433Simulated
10-13-20202667215,045,047113,049,531312,096,432Simulated
10-14-20202671215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
10-15-20202680215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
10-16-20202690215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
10-17-20202700215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
10-18-20202710215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
10-19-20202720215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
10-20-20202730215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
10-21-20202740215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
10-22-20202750215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
10-23-20202760215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
10-24-20202770215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
10-25-20202780215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
10-26-20202790215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
10-27-20202800215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
10-28-20202810215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
10-29-20202820215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
10-30-20202830215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
10-31-20202840215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
11-01-20202850215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
11-02-20202860215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
11-03-20202870215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
11-04-20202880215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
11-05-20202890215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
11-06-20202900215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
11-07-20202910215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
11-08-20202920215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
11-09-20202930215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
11-10-20202940215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
11-11-20202950215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
11-12-20202960215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
11-13-20202970215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
11-14-20202980215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
11-15-20202990215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
11-16-20203000215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
11-17-20203010215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
11-18-20203020215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
11-19-20203030215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
11-20-20203040215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
11-21-20203050215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
11-22-20203060215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
11-23-20203070215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
11-24-20203080215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
11-25-20203090215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
11-26-20203100215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
11-27-20203110215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
11-28-20203120215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
11-29-20203130215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
11-30-20203140215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
12-01-20203150215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
12-02-20203160215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
12-03-20203170215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
12-04-20203180215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
12-05-20203190215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
12-06-20203200215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
12-07-20203210215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated
12-08-20203220215,045,048013,049,531312,096,432Simulated

(this table may not work well on a mobile device, you will see a list of dates and the corresponding data instead)