Projection Data

Disclaimer: This information is strictly math data, it is not a prediction and is not based on any other criteria beyond mathematics. This information should not be used to make decisions. No warranty expressed or implied is made regarding accuracy, adequacy, completeness, legality, reliability or usefulness of the information presented below.

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The graph below depicts the total amount of deaths (in red) and the total amount of people projected to be die (in grey).

The table (below the graph) projects the possible course of Covid-19 infections, new infections, and deaths in the United States on a day-to-day basis.

This chart and table are based upon historical data, up to yesterday’s date, listed as “Historical.” After that, we’ve used various characteristics (see list below) to calculate a simulation of what the infection and the consequences could potentially be.

This data below is mathematically based on the following projection characteristics:

  • Historical data to date (as of 24 hours ago)
  • US Population (currently fixed at 325,145,963 people)
  • Infection Rate (RO) = 1 to 1.7 (1 infected person can infect 1.7 people)
    Excluding immune and isolated people = up to 10,000 individuals
  • Mortality Rate = 5.8% (set to current national average)
  • Untreated Cases = 2% (this is the number of people who were not treated, presented with symptoms too late to be helped, or will die without benefit of healthcare at all)
  • Burnout Rate = 3.5% (This represents a reduction of the ‘Infection Rate’ over time – it represents the increased quarantine measures, progress with discovering a cure or vaccine and fewer healthy hosts to infect)

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[coronavirus-historical-data-prediction target_location=us ]

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